Social Capital Accounting wins out again. Nokia Jumps Most Since 2008 as Lumia Sales Top Estimates – Businessweek. We saw that Nokia was the top rate mobile manufacturer in the US market and again, our metrics of social capital were leading indicators of their financial success! Congrats to Nokia for a great result! Let us know if we can help you!
What is it that people think and then talk about? In this highly connected world in which we now live in this question is vitally important. Why do consumer packaged goods brands like Coke and Pepsi continue to spend millions of dollars on advertising every year? Surely, at this point there are very few people who do not consume one of these products relatively frequently let alone have little to no knowledge of the brand at all. The same can almost be said for those durable goods companies such as Ford, Apple, and BestBuy. These companies enjoy a great amount of brand penetration into the market, but the purchase cycle for these products is very long and yet they also spend millions on advertising. The answer to this question is mindshare. When a consumer goes into a store to buy a product, companies not only want their products to be recognized when they are seen, they want it to be in that consumers’ mind before even walking into the store. If a customer is thinking about your product before they even look at the options, they will be more inclined to purchase the item.
The second important part of brand awareness is mouthshare, or how much a customer talks about a topic, or in this case, a brand. The amount of time a customer discusses about a subject is related to how much they think about said topic and how important it is to them on an aggregate level. Thus the more a customer talks about a brand, the greater the chance they interact with that product and the greater its importance. In addition, talking about a brand serves to enhance brand awareness in other individuals thus furthering the cycle.
1) Coca ColaOver the past couple weeks Argus Insights has delved into what drives mouthshare, or people’s conversational topics. For this study, we chose Twitter due to the greater volume of data available compared to other social media outlets. We looked at the related Twitter feeds for twenty-six companies and name brands over a two-week period ranging from Subway and Coca-Cola to Tide, Urban Outfitters, Ford, and Apple. In general, the majority of discussed brands will fall into one of two main categories: 1) common interactions, such food and drink; and 2) major purchases, such as electronics and automobiles. It should not be much of a surprise then that the top five mentioned brands were:
These top brands also all had approximately 10% share of our total tweets for the examined time with Coke obtaining an impressive 95,537 tweets.
If we look at these brands, we instantly see that the most talked about brands also share product passion and market permeation. Many people have strong feelings about these brands and everyone knows and uses them. Now lets look at the last five brands:
22) Charles Schwab
23) Famous Footwear
26) Heinz Ketchup
We can see that two of the five are clothing companies. While the brand of your clothing may be very important to a teenage girl, or some incredibly clothes conscious males, to a majority it is of primary importance that the clothes fit and look good. Even when the brand matters for their purchase decisions, it will infrequently makes its way into casual conversation. One is a tech company that, while it may be a global player in the industry, does not have a great amount of mindshare for the average person.
All of this chatter is relatively small however compared to the fire hose that is Twitter with its average 250 million tweets a day. All of these brands together make up 0.049% of the tweets for the week period. Though while the percentage of the total stream is small,there can be an enormous impact on a given company. A single positive or negative tweet can be picked up by another person and retweeted hundreds if not thousands of times within minutes, which depending on the message can have a real fiscal impact on a company.
Now let’s examine these same ideas in a more concrete dollars and cents way. First let’s take several representative companies from consumer packaged goods, durable goods, and clothing comparing the projected revenues for the analyzed time period per tweet we get some interesting results. For each section we are looking at popular and well-known brands:
Consumer packaged goods are consumed on a regular basis and their message is constantly advertised giving them a high revenue to tweet ratio. On the other end durable goods like those purchased at BestBuy while not a frequent purchase, elicit high consumer passion resulting in nearly twice as high of a revenue to tweet ratio. In the middle there is almost a dead-zone of consumer engagement with the clothing sector. Even these three well know and popular brands have a paltry revenue to tweet ratio of less than $400 each.
With the proper understanding, the social media sphere can be a useful tool to promote and monitor a company’s mouthshare. A company that uses this knowledge can help to direct the fire hose of social media and not simply be washed away by it.
RIM had their annual meeting earlier this week. Notably missing from the shareholder outcry was the push to sell or split off salable assets to interested parties. We all know that since the launch of the iPhone, RIM has been spiraling down in terms of both market share and customer satisfaction. The biggest question that the board and newish CEO should be asking if they can pull out of the dive in time before scattering push servers, patent plaques and unsold Storms all over the Canadian countryside.
Of course we have an opinion on this. Actually we’ve just aggregated the user opinion on this. You can see the Blackberry fall from grace played out over this snapshot of the Smartphone market. Only LG has fallen faster from grace. These results are based on user opinions gathered from all RIM phones launched in the past few years.
Notice where Apple and Blackberry trade places in the minds of consumers. It was when the iPhone became available on Verizon so now the legions of RIM faithful in NYC and other major metro areas could finally embrace the iPhone experience and make phone calls, unlike their locked in AT&T brethren. Every attempt to refresh the product lines led to further decay while Apple continues to flourish.
But what is RIM to do? Is there enough residual Social Capital in RIM customer experience to recover with Blackberry 10, which has been delayed again? We’ll answer that question in our next post but you can always reach out if you’d like to know sooner!
Check out the following article from Forbes on how the efforts to monetize social media is impacting the original utility. Will Marketing Muck Up Social Media? – Forbes. Argus Insights wrapped up a project with Butler Stern, Shine and Partners were we did an audit of the Social Capital inherent in several well known brands, including Wendy’s, Old Spice, Pepsi, Heinz Ketchup and others. You can see our presentation on YouTube.
The results were fascinating from the point of view of how the brands were engaging with the public using social media channels such as Facebook and Twitter. For the most part, brands acted like that slacker in your high school America History class that regaled the room with his armpit rendition of the William Tell Overture, that is to say, they attract a lot of attention by doing something outlandish that has nothing to do with what consumers are focused on at the time and quickly fade to the black as the class gets back to what they were doing.
The brands that found resonance with the market were those that actually took the time to engage in the conversation, to dip their toe in while asking permission rather than cannon balling into the discussion. Consumers want to engage with brands as people, with authenticity, not be shouted out from the rafters. We often cite the Minority Report as the inspiration of the gestural interfaces we are using today but rarely mention the hellish vision of targeted ads screaming out to us at every turn. Is this where brands want to take us?
The question is, how to you measure that authenticity of engagement? What’s the ROI from a long term relationship? Those are the questions that Argus Insights is collaborating with BSSP and others to answer. Let’s together move beyond the easy to count “likes” and “retweets,” the blast radius of our splash into the pool and instead focus on authentic relationships where the consumer and brands are equal and engaged players.